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*Osun 2018: East and Central Senatorial zone, A Factor To Consider by Any Gubernatorial Aspirant As Politics Gather Momentum*

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_*unheard Music, who is to dance*_
It is no longer a secret that each of the political parties in Osun state is by now thinking towards Osun West for their governorship ticket.Most of the gladiators within the two leading parties are presently jostling covertly to succeed the Incumbent governor of Osun State, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola an uncommon personality who by now appeared not tired to plant his legacy in the state as he remain a workaholic.This zoning appeared convenient and an easy ride  for Apc but not so palatable or a laughing matter for pdp,for Sen Iyiola Omisore to be sidelined in the scheme of things may mean total collapsed of the empire called PDP in Osun State. Head or tail,Apc is still the party to bit and they are also putting such possibility in to their consideration ..
Meanwhile, If there are any communities or persons,every gladiators in Osun state should also watch closely by now as possible place to pick their running mate towards realising their governorship ambition for Osun State ,then it’s Osogbo axis,Ife or Ilesha (Central or East) and that is where Hon Oluwole Oke,  Hon Rotimi Makinde and  Barr Basir Ajibola who is the current Attorney General of the state and Hon Rotimi Makinde a former member of the house of representatives,Hon Oke is a serving federal legislator from Ilesha axis, these personalities readily comes to mind,incidentally both Ajibola and Makinde are close lieutenants of Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola and incidentally both are Islam by faith. Makinde is a great grassroot politician from ile ife, a renowned artist and a discipline very public figure in the state. He hail from Ile Ife the community who ordinarily deserves the governor seat but for the zoning and marriage of convenience in the state, Dr Ajibola Basir is  a technocrat per excellence and he is from Osogbo,he is the current attorney general of the state, highly referred as defacto gov  .Hon Wole Oke is a third timer in the federal house of Reps. The outgoing governor Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola is from Ilesha,in the east senatorial district, the same  axis with Ile ife, the cradle of Yoruba race who had not been so privileged to occupy the governor seat despite their enormous resources contribution to the economy of the state. Analyst believed the pendulum of governorship is very much likely to go in the way of Osun West in either of the party going by records of precedence…
Presently, no fewer than 15 gladiators has indicated their interest to take over from Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola in Apc and pdp. Notably among them are Hon Najim Salam,Mr lere oyewumi, Dr Adewopo, Alh Moshood Adeoti,Hon Gafar Ameere, Proff Mojeed Alabi,Mr Alabi Olugboyega ,Elder Peter Babalola and may be the current Commissioner for Finance, Alhaji Bola Oyebamiji:  Commissioner for Finance.
Also we have some highly placed gladiators showing interest from other zones such as KRad,Rt Hon Lasun Yusuf and the likes of Prince Dr Ayoade Opeyemi Adewopo, Honourable Wole Oke, Dr Iyiola Omisore, Prince Tunde Eso, Senator Adeleke, Fatai Akinbade who has always been making  embryonic move to declare ambition but stylishly  advancing spontaneously on social media to prepare the minds of the electorate in terms of awareness and to create avenue for consultation but yet to officially declare their ambition to govern Osun State.

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Some are even of the opinion that the governor is all bent in looking towards the direction of Osun central and thinking  in the direction of Alh Gboyega Oyetola the current Chief of staff,a complete gentleman. In this regard,many analyst believe jettisoning a grass root like Alhaji Moshood Adeoti would be an uphil task and so also a political stalwalt like Elder Peter Babalola whose silence has been very worrisome in the recent.
Meanwhile, scores of individuals has so far shown interest in the plum job, which has relatively polarised the party in the last few months.
Honourable Rotimi Makinde, the former member of House of Representatives,Ile Ife constituency is among the top players every political calculator must keenly observed and put into permutation as gubernatorial election draws nearer day by day. The development has since pitched him against many interests in the party hierarchy, and this became a substantial clog in the wheel of his ambition in the party.
He has displayed a political version of biblical Peter by being vocal, having excitedly divulged many of his past in governance publicly in the euphoria of finding a suitable political office to serve his good people diligently.

While many in his political family consider him as a loyal member, many others like Maye of Ife, Dr Adedoyin, Dele Mohammed and others not even in his party sees him as an outstanding politician who should be watched closely with a sensitive and bigger assignment based on his leadership experience.
It is on records that the Osun East Senatorial District produced the incumbent, Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola through a ruling of an appeal court sitting in Ibadan, Oyo State on November 26, 2010. With this analysis, If the party should finally go to West as been predicted in picking it’s Gubernatorial candidate, then the Deputy Governor is definitely going to the Central or East area of the state.Meanwhile the current Deputy Governor is from Osun  Central in the person of Mrs Titi laoye Tomori. What however would also be placed in consideration is the voting strength and culture of the two communities. Ile Ife is predominantly opposition in nature,almost all contestants under APC platform lost in that axis unlike Osogbo, apart from this city enjoying the best of everything under the present government,it can easily be predicted that the indigenes would kindly be ready to return their love for the progressive party any time any day unlike ife people who seems to keep dancing to the unheard music of their son .This is the point and this is why the dangling ace is mostly favoured to go in the direction of Osun Central Senatorial District!.
Makinde has not hide his strong appetite to return to the Federal House of Representatives with serious intention to secure a principal position or chairmanship of any committee to better his people as a returnee or in the alternative becomes the Deputy Governor of his dear State. The waiting game therefore is that anyone who  picks the party ticket has to face the task of preferences in the deputy ticket slot.
All in all, both the ruling APC and PDP has a big and onerous task ahead ,most especially if APC really wants to retain the governorship seat, going by its array of errors and miscalculations in the recent past. They must be reasonable in their permutations.

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It is no more news that APC and its popularity has abysmally waned and its influence geometrically dwindled, especially in the wake of its ignominious defeat during the Osun West Senatorial District bye-election, in which the ailing PDP defeated the party with a wide and unimaginable margin.
The waiting game continues……
Obadimu Dekunle Veron, Political Analyst

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Fidelity Bank: Improved Share Price as Growth Indicator

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Houston, Texas gears up for Fidelity Bank's FITCC Trade Expo

Fidelity Bank: Improved Share Price as Growth Indicator

 

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When the management of the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) in July 2023 announced that it was reclassifying Fidelity Bank Plc from small-price stock to medium-price stock, financial analysts concluded that the road to attaining Tier1 status by the bank is closer than ever imagined.

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In full year 2022. Fidelity Bank briefly fell into the Tier 1 category and saw the highest gross earnings of N337.10 billion and profit before tax of N53.68 billion. The bank’s higher interest income relative to interest expense led to a net interest margin of 7.70 per cent, ahead of other similar banks.

Regarding its financial position, the bank had the highest total assets at N3.99 trillion in 2022. The bank’s relatively low-risk asset exposure kept non-performing loans (NPLs) at 2.90 per cent, the second lowest in the Tier 2 category ahead of Wema Bank.

Although the group has struggled with curtailing operating costs with CIR above 50 per cent, Fidelity earned the second lowest CIR among Tier 2 banks at 59.00 per cent, slightly behind FCMB at 53.90 per cent in FY 2022.

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In 9M 2023, Fidelity Bank, according to Proshare analysts will rise to full Tier 1 status in its next Tier 1 Banking Sector Report review based on Proshare’s Banking Strength Index (PBSI)) led second-tier banks in gross earnings, profitability, total assets, customer deposits, and loans and advances.
However, its non-performing loan ratio (NPLR) rose to 3.54 per cent after Wema Bank’s 2.50 per cent, while its cost-to-income ratio (CIR) settled at 49.86 per cent, which was an improvement from the previous year’s ratio.

Significantly, in its full-year 2023 results, the bank’s total assets as of December 31, 2023 has risen to N6.2 trillion.

The bank closed 2023 as the fifth best banking stock on the floor of the NGX with a share price of N10.85 and a market capitalization of N347.3 billion, depicting an annual gain of 149.4 per cent, Fidelity Bank also showcased a commendable financial performance.
Notably, it achieved a net income of N91.8 billion in the nine months ending September 2023, reflecting a substantial 162.46% year-on-year growth from the corresponding period in 2022.

Furthermore, the bank registered an impressive return on equity of 28.48 per cent during the first nine months of 2023.

The 2023 performance of the bank was similar to that of 2022 as it was one of the three banks that led the list of the best-performing banks on the NGX. The other banks are FCMB and FBN Holdings.

The research pours into the performance of thirteen of Nigeria’s largest commercial banks analyzing improvement year on year over two quarters.

The analysis revealed that the thirteen banks raked in a sum of N298.84 billion as post-tax profit between July and September 2022, representing an increase of 29.9 per cent compared to N228.54 billion recorded in the corresponding period of 2021.

The commercial banks remained resilient despite economic headwinds, which saw the nation’s aggregate GDP growth slowed to 2.25 per cent in Q3 2022 from 3.54 per cent recorded in the previous quarter and 4.03 per cent in the corresponding period of 2021.

Also, banks’ loans to customers grew by 5.5 per cent between June and September 2022 to stand at N23.76 trillion, representing a net new loan of N1.23 trillion in three months. However, this showed a slightly slower growth than the 6.81 per cent increase recorded in the comparable period of 2021.

NGX reclassification

The NGX said the reclassification became necessary because Fidelity Bank shares have been trading above the N5.00 mark since February 2023.
According to the NGX, rule 15.29 of the Rulebook of the Exchange, 2015 (Dealing Members’ Rules) notes that equities priced above N5 per share for at least four of the most recent six months of trading, or new security listings priced above N5 per share at the time of listing on NGX are classified as medium price stock.

“Fidelity Bank traded above the N5.00 mark on February 20, 2023 and has remained above the N5 mark up until close of business on 30 June 2023.
“This indicates that Fidelity Bank has been trading above N5 for at least four months in the last six months. Therefore, it should be reclassified from small price stock to medium price stock,” it pointed out.

The bank has continued to post commendable financial performance every quarter as it cements its position amongst tier-one banks in the country.
In the half-year 2023 results and for the second year running, the bank emerged as the company with the highest earnings per share on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX).

According to a report, Fidelity Bank, Seplat Energy, Total Energies, Okomu Oil, Presco, Dangote Cement, MTN Nigeria, BUA Foods, First City Monument Bank (FCMB) and Geregu Power emerged as the companies with the highest earnings per share within that review period.
Earnings per share (EPS) is a company’s net profit divided by the number of common shares it has outstanding.
It also indicates how much money a company makes for each share of its stock and is a widely used metric for estimating corporate value.

A higher EPS indicates greater value because investors will pay more for a company’s shares if they think the company has higher profits relative to its share price.

Fidelity Bank recorded an earnings per share of N184 in the first half of 2023 from N79 in the first half of 2022.
The share price of the bank as of Thursday, April 25, 2024, stood at N9.00 per share as the bank traded 12.642 million shares valued at N112.071 billion in 246 deals.

Fidelity Bank’s share price movement has shown intense volatility in an upward direction over the past years. The stock price has risen from N2.52 on January 04, 2010, to N10.00 on March 15, 2023, generating a YTD return of 297 per cent.
The bank’s market capitalization as of Thursday, April 25, 2024, stood at N288.11 billion. Average volume stood at 11.76 million, share outstanding was 32.01 billion while free float was 31.72 billion

Stakeholders speak
Analysts believe the bank’s share price underlines its earnings growth and financial performance as higher dividend yields and future earnings forecasts have triggered demand in the money lender’s shares.

Over the last ten years, the bank’s share price has risen to a resistance (highest price) of N14.20 on March 05, 2024, and a support price (lowest price) of N0.76 on November 16, 2016.

According to a Lagos-based stockbroker, ‘Fidelity Bank demonstrates the classical admonition to prospective investors of entering low and selling high. Over the last eight years, Fidelity’s stock price has risen by 44.19 per cent on a compound annual basis; very few stocks could prove a better inflation hedge”.

Ambrose Omordion, Chief Research Officer at Investdata Consulting Limited, believes that this is the best time for Fidelity as the bank’s share price is doing well among its peers.

He said, “Fidelity is doing well and its share price is one of the best among its peers. This is so because the bank has recorded impressive results in its 2023 financial year. In June 2023, the bank shares rose by 32 per cent making it the nation’s best-performing bank share as of half year (June 30).

“I can only see a better bank now and in the future. The bank is a potential Tier 1 bank and the performance of the bank is a pointer to the fact that the bank will scale the recapitalisation hurdle of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)”.

Prince Anthony Omojola, National Coordinator, Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria (ISAN), asserted that “Fidelity Bank is moving up in terms of performance. They have joined those paying interim dividends and they have also dipped their hand into big money tills for huge investment. They have borrowed big to be able to handle bigger contracts and be able to reap big. The reclassification is welcomed and I hope they will not disappoint us. If they can meet expectations, the benefit will be for Nigeria”.

On his part, Sam Ndata, Doyen of Nigerian Stockbrokers and non-executive director at UIDC Securities Limited commented, “This is a good development. If a company performs well, it will surely be rewarded to earn investors’ confidence”.

Mr Boniface Okezie, the National Coordinator, Progressive Shareholders Association of Nigeria, commented, “Fidelity Bank has paid its dues in the financial services sector. It has contributed immensely to the development of the small and medium enterprises (SME) sector yet pays dividends to the shareholders. Last year, it took the market by surprise by declaring a dividend of 50k per share which had not happened in previous years. The massive investment in ICT and effective branch network shows it is ready to serve the customers in a better way and make the shareholders happy.”

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Revealed! How Detained Binance executive planned prison escape

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Revealed! How Detained Binance executive planned prison escape

 

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The detained Binance Holdings Limited executive, Tigran Gambaryan, has attempted to escape from Kuje Correctional Facility accordign to a report by the PUNCH.

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Revealed! How Detained Binance executive planned prison escape

Investigations by their  correspondent revealed how Mr Gambaryan who is currently remanded in Kuje Correctional Facility, applied for a new United States of America passport, under the pretence that his seized passport was missing.

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The Armenian-born Binance executive, Gambaryan who has both American and Armenian passports, told the US Embassy in Abuja that he lost his passport which is currently being held by the EFCC, impeccable anti-graft sources privy to the development but not authorised to speak, told The PUNCH on Wednesday.

Following the development, the EFCC has urged the Federal High Court sitting in Abuja to disregard Gambaryan’s bail application, while noting that the Armenian-American could flee from Nigeria like his Kenyan-British colleague, Nadeem Anjarwalla who fled to Kenya.

A source, who is privy to the investigations, revealed that “The second Binance executive, Tigran Gambaryan, who is currently remanded in Kuje prison, has planned to escape from the facility. He applied to the US embassy in Abuja to issue him a new Visa while lying that he lost his passport which was seized by the EFCC.”

Another source, who insisted on anonymity, noted that “Gambaryan could have escaped from Kuje if not for the fact that the US embassy flagged his request for a new passport. Fortunately, the US embassy immediately reached out to the EFFC, and the embassy was informed that he’s a criminal suspect whose case is currently in court for alleged money laundering – concealing the source of the $35,400, 000 generated as revenue by Binance in Nigeria knowing that the funds constituted proceeds of unlawful activity.”

Meanwhile, the EFCC had on Tuesday, urged Justice Emeka Nwite of the Federal High Court Abuja to deny Gambaryan’s bail application.

The anti-graft agency said it was too risky to admit the foreigner to bail, noting the escape of his co-defendant, Nadeem Anjarwalla, from the custody of the National Security Adviser and his escape to Kenya.

Besides, the prosecuting counsel for the EFCC, Ekele Iheanacho, told the court that the anti-graft agency uncovered an alleged plot by Gambaryan to obtain a new passport to facilitate his escape from Nigeria after the EFCC had seized his passport.

Gambaryan, his fleeing colleague, Anjarwalla, and Binance Holdings Limited are being prosecuted by the EFCC on money laundering charges.

The anti-graft agency accused them of concealing the source of the $35,400, 000 generated as revenue by Binance in Nigeria knowing that the funds constituted proceeds of unlawful activity.

Opposing Gambaryan’s bail application on Tuesday, the EFCC prosecutor said, “There was an attempt by this defendant to procure another travelling document even when he was aware that his passport was in the custody of the state. He pretended as if the said passport was stolen.”

Iheanacho told the court that within the same period that Anjarwalla fled the custody, Gambaryan also allegedly made moves to escape from custody and flee the country but was intercepted by the operatives of the commission.

“This court will be taking a grave risk to grant the defendant bail. This is also because he has no attachment to any community in Nigeria.
“The experience we have had with the man who escaped to Kenya while his United Kingdom passport is in Nigeria will certainly repeat itself if this defendant is granted bail.

“The 1st defendant (Binance) is operating virtually. The only thing we have to hold on to is this defendant. So, we pray My Lord to refuse bail to the defendant.”

Iheanacho said with the intelligence information at the EFCC’s disposal it was not safe to release the foreigner on bail.

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Dana Airline: How Long Should We Pamper Death? …Why FG should completely ban Dana Airline from flights operations ~By Oluwaseun Fabiyi

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Dana Airline: How Long Should We Pamper Death? ...Why FG should completely ban Dana Airline from flights operations ~By Oluwaseun Fabiyi

Dana Airline: How Long Should We Pamper Death?
…Why FG should completely ban Dana Airline from flights operations
~By Oluwaseun Fabiyi

 

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Every means of transportation poses its own risk and hazards, however, some pose graver risk, especially when the right steps are not taken in the right direction. The fear and the attendant disaster that comes with air crashes are graver than one could imagine. This is why all must be adequately put in place, to avoid unnecessary distrust.

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Dana Airline: How Long Should We Pamper Death?
...Why FG should completely ban Dana Airline from flights operations
~By Oluwaseun Fabiyi

It is no longer news that Dana Airlines experienced yet another flight mishap recently, when one of its aircrafts; with registration number 5N BKI skidded off the runway, at the Murtala Muhammed International airport in Lagos, on Tuesday 23rd of April, 2024, after reportedly returning from Abuja that fateful morning. To say that, the incident was a serious safety concern and threat; that requires swift response, is to say the least.

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One must commend the Honourable Minister Of Aviation and Aerospace Development, for his promptness in grounding all Dana Air’s operations within the country. Such should be the alacrity of nations, who have zest and intelligence for the safety of her citizens.

Without much ado, Many Nigerians must have come to a point where they doubt the integrity and technological reliability of Dana Airlines. This is not farfetched from the lackadaisical attitude of the air operator, and certain antecedents that say no otherwise.

Let me take you just a little down the memory lane! Bethnews Media can still recall very vividly, how Dana Airlines wrecked a gruesome havoc on my neighbourhood some 13 years ago,when one of its aircrafts crashed, around Toyin/Balogun Iju-Road claiming the lives of One Hundred And Fifty-nine (159) persons and destroying several persons homes and means of livelihood.

On that fateful Sunday afternoon of June 3, 2012, at about 2:00pm. Publiser of BethNews Media, Oluwaseun Fabiyi had just returned from church, and because of the hot weather, I sat at the balcony after my meal, only to see an aircraft that swung across my rooftop, as if to perch on it. Gripped with fear, since we had never seen a plane flown so low in our area, we decided to follow up.

Myself and others understood that, all was not well the the aircraft that just past, especially seeing it with that very black fume, and preceded by a very scary screeching and deadly roar. Before we could say Jack Robinson, it happened, a Dana Airlines aircraft had just crashed! Everywhere around Toyin Balogun street, off Iju Ishaga road, was already in disarray. Everyone scampered for safety in the unfortunate community.

When an occurrence of this magnitude occurs, sometimes it is excusable to attribute it unforeseen hitch(es), however, such excuses are hardly tenable in airspace operations, since most of the flight activities are strictly monitored via utmost sophistication and near-perfect technical accuracy.

Few months after the Lagos state government had organised a mass burial for the victims of the unfortunate controversial Dana air mishap,the operator was suspended, and directed to show kind gestures to families and businesses affected.

Guess what! Dana Airlines is alleged to have refused, to show concerns, nor put any mechanism in place, to alleviate the sufferings of those who lost lives, properties and millions to the crash. Rather, they clamoured to resume operations.

Surprisingly but not strangely, Nigeria Civil Aviation Authority (NCAA) heeded Dana Airlines’ plea,to resume operations. Nigerians must understand and also remember that, the Dana air crash of 3rd June, 2012 remains the deadliest; after that of 1973,where 193 died in Kano.

Imagine what would have happened again, if the last incident resulted in a crash aground or mid air. God forbids, like we always say in Nigeria’s parlance! However, the reality is that, God wouldn’t forbid, if we leave what God has given us abilities to avert back to God. It doesn’t work that way!

As a matter of urgency, Dana Airline needs to be completely ban from flights operations, since crashes and air mishaps are becoming regular and normal occurrence in their services to Nigerians. We can’t continue to handle the safety of the populace with laxity and levity.

As far as I and many Nigerians are concerned,if the authorities involved continue to play politics, Dana Airline would continue to underestimate Nigerians for long, and the outside world wouldn’t take us seriously.

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